{"id":44990,"date":"2017-07-11T13:44:34","date_gmt":"2017-07-11T05:44:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/?p=44990"},"modified":"2022-11-15T01:58:27","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T17:58:27","slug":"%e4%bd%a0%e7%9a%84%e5%b7%a5%e4%bd%9c%e6%9c%83%e8%a2%ab%e6%a9%9f%e5%99%a8%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%96%e4%bb%a3%e5%97%8e%ef%bc%9f%e4%be%86%e3%80%8cwill-robots-take-my-job%e3%80%8d%e6%9f%a5%e6%9f%a5%e7%9c%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4f60\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6703\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u53d6\u4ee3\u55ce\uff1f\u4f86\u300cWill Robots Take My Job?\u300d\u67e5\u67e5\u770b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6700\u666e\u904d\u53c8\u8cbc\u8fd1\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5c31\u662f\u6383\u5730\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u4e86\u5427\uff01\u5c0f\u5c0f\u4e00\u53f0\u5728\u5bb6\u88e1\u5e6b\u4f60\u6383\u6383\u5730\uff0c\u5076\u723e\u9084\u80fd\u5a1b\u6a02\u4e00\u4e0b\u5c0f\u5b69\u6216\u5bf5\u7269\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u9084\u53ea\u662f\u5c0f case \u800c\u5df2\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u5e38\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5404\u7a2e\u7121\u4eba\u5316\u7684\u5546\u5e97\u6216\u662f\u7121\u4eba\u99d5\u99db\u8eca&#8230;&#8230;\u7b49\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u65b0\u805e\u9678\u7e8c\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5f88\u591a\u5de5\u4f5c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u7531\u6a5f\u5668\u4f86\u4ee3\u52de\uff0c\u4f60\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8077\u52d9\u662f\u5426\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u7d66\u53d6\u4ee3\u55ce\uff1f\u4f86\u4e0b\u9762\u9019\u500b\u7db2\u7ad9\u67e5\u67e5\u770b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300cWill Robots Take My Job?\u300d\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u6703\u6436\u8d70\u6211\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u55ce\uff1f\u53ea\u8981\u8f38\u5165\u5de5\u4f5c\u8077\u52d9\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u95dc\u9375\u5b57\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u5e6b\u4f60\u5206\u6790\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u7b49\u7d1a\u3002\u9019\u500b\u7db2\u7ad9\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u662f\u7531 Carl Benedikt Frey \u548c Michael A. Osborne \u5728 2013 \u5e74\u6240\u767c\u8868\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u7814\u7a76\u6587\u7ae0\u800c\u4f86\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u5167\u5bb9\u662f\u95dc\u65bc\u96fb\u8166\u5316\u5c0d\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u64da\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u8fd1\u534a\u6578\u7684\u8077\u696d\u672a\u4f86\u5c07\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u9019\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e0d\u5b89\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5206\u6790\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u9664\u4e86\u5305\u542b\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u7d1a\u6578\u5916\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u8a72\u8077\u696d\u985e\u5225\u5230 2024 \u5e74\u7684\u9810\u4f30\u6210\u9577\u7387\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u85aa\u4ee5\u53ca\u622a\u81f3 2016 \u5e74\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u90fd\u662f\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u5340\u70ba\u4e3b\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6703\u9047\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5176\u5b83\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u9003\u4e0d\u4e86\uff0c\u53ef\u53c3\u8003\u770b\u770b\u56c9\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u5c31\u7b97\u67e5\u51fa\u4f86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8077\u696d\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u6027\u9ad8\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7528\u592a\u64d4\u5fc3\uff0c\u5f9e\u73fe\u5728\u958b\u59cb\u52a0\u5f37\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u6280\u80fd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u9072\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u96d6\u7136\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d6\u4ee3\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5167\u5bb9\uff0c\u4f46\u50cf\u5c31\u50cf\u6383\u5730\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u7d30\u7bc0\u8655\u9084\u662f\u5f97\u7531\u4eba\u53bb\u8655\u7406\u7684\uff0c\u8001\u8a71\u4e00\u53e5\uff0c\u6a5f\u6703\u662f\u7559\u7d66\u6e96\u5099\u597d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u5c31\u4e0d\u7528\u6015\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u4e86\uff01<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u7db2\u7ad9\u540d\u7a31\uff1a<\/strong>Will Robots Take My Job?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5b98\u65b9\u7db2\u7ad9\uff1a<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/willrobotstakemyjob.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/willrobotstakemyjob.com\/<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7db2\u7ad9\u756b\u9762\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u300cEnter your job\u300d\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u8f38\u5165\u8077\u696d\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u95dc\u9375\u5b57\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u5728\u4e0b\u65b9\u5217\u51fa\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u8077\u696d\uff0c\u518d\u5f9e\u4e2d\u9078\u64c7\u76f8\u7b26\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_1\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44992\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"279\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44992\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_1_2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44993\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"396\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_1_2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44993\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u67e5\u8a62\u7684\u8077\u696d\u662f\u6703\u8a08\u5e2b\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u6709 94% \u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u6240\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u5c0f\u5b57\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u9019\u500b\u8077\u696d\u7684\u7d30\u9805\u8aaa\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44994\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"473\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44994\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f80\u4e0b\u62c9\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u7b49\u7d1a\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u4e86\u7576\u7684\u8aaa\u300cYou are doomed\u300d\uff08\u4f60\u662f\u9003\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\uff01\uff09\uff0c\u53f3\u4e0a\u662f\u9810\u4f30\u5230 2024 \u5e74\u9019\u500b\u8077\u696d\u7684\u6210\u9577\u7387\uff0c\u5de6\u4e0b\u662f\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u85aa\uff0c\u53f3\u4e0b\u5247\u662f\u622a\u81f3 2016 \u5e74\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003\u770b\u770b\u56c9\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_3\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44995\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"384\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44995\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u62ff\u4f86\u67e5\u8ab0\u6bd4\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4f86\u67e5\u8a62\u672a\u4f86\u5177\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u50cf\u52d5\u7269\u8a13\u7df4\u5e2b\u662f\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u591a\u4eba\u5f9e\u4e8b\u7684\u884c\u696d\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u53ea\u6709 10% \u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u50cf\u7de8\u8f2f\u3001\u4f5c\u5bb6&#8230;&#8230;\u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u52d5\u8166\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u66f4\u5fae\u5c0f\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_4\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44996\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"482\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44996\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/telecnsr.com\/44990\/wrtmj_4_2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-44997\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"454\" src=\"\/\/telecnsr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/wrtmj_4_2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44997\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u76ee\u524d\u88ab\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6700\u666e\u904d\u53c8\u8cbc\u8fd1\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5c31\u662f\u6383\u5730\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u4e86\u5427\uff01\u5c0f\u5c0f\u4e00\u53f0\u5728\u5bb6\u88e1\u5e6b\u4f60\u6383\u6383\u5730\uff0c\u5076\u723e\u9084\u80fd\u5a1b\u6a02\u4e00\u4e0b\u5c0f\u5b69\u6216\u5bf5\u7269\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u9084\u53ea\u662f\u5c0f case 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